Independent Research / Working Papers

Volatile New Approach to Lateral Pressure Theory (view here)

Minithesis that builds on Nazli Choucri and Robert North’s Lateral Pressure Theory and identifies new drivers of extreme violent conflict that may lead to particularly violent wars and irrational behavior. Supervision by Dr. Peter Brecke, International Affairs Professor at the Georgia Institute of Technology.

Dangers of a Crowded Room: Predictors of Mass Violent Conflict (view here)

Study analyzing societal and economic development at key historical periods as a prelude to mass violent conflict and total war. Identifies indicators of conflict as disruptive change within areas of close geographic proximity. Supervision by Dr. Peter Brecke.

The Cost of Peace: Market Pricing Metrics as Leading Indicators to Military Conflicts (view here)

Study analyzing the global history of warfare using Conflict Catalog Data created by Dr. Peter Brecke applying stock market pricing metrics identify trends and predictions as to the future of war and society. Unique approach of metrics traditionally used in corporate financial analysis to historical conflict data including Moving Averages, Relative Strength Indexes (RSI), Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD), Bollinger Bands, and others.

Money Makes Democracy Go ‘Round: Effect of Income on the Quality of Democracy (view here)

Study analyzing the effect of the GDP per capita on the quality of democracy in 161 countries worldwide using linear regression to reach conclusions about the importance of strong economies. Used the Democracy Matrix Research Project which ranks government structures from autocracy to democracy.